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2201.05722

Global stability of SIR model with heterogeneous transmission rate modeled by the Preisach operator

Ruofei Guan, Jana Kopfová, Dmitrii Rachinskii

correcthigh confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Strong Field
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

The paper proves global convergence to a single endemic equilibrium within a continuum of equilibria via a careful branch-by-branch Lyapunov construction and explicit smallness conditions depending on q0 = (R0^nat − R0^int) sup_Π q(α), culminating in Theorem 1 that every trajectory converges to an endemic state when R0^int ≥ 1 + ε for an explicit ε (see the statement of Theorem 1 and its proof sketch, including the roles of ε0 and κ, and the continuum of equilibria Eθ*). By contrast, the candidate solution’s ‘small-gain on slopes’ argument incorrectly assumes a unit bound on the Preisach slice-slope M (it should scale with sup_Π q), conflicting with the paper’s Lipschitz constant q0 and leading to conditions that ignore the necessary dependence on sup q; it also contains a flawed strip-invariance argument and an unjustified energy-supply bound.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} strong field

\textbf{Justification:}

The work establishes a rigorous global stability result for an SIR model with history-dependent heterogeneity modeled by a continuous Preisach operator. The method—a family-of-Lyapunov-functions analysis across history-dependent branches—is technically strong and, to my knowledge, new in this context. The dependence of the stability margin on the Preisach density bound is properly quantified. The exposition is clear, though moving some key constants and inequalities from the appendix into the main text would improve accessibility. Overall, this is a solid and timely contribution that warrants publication after minor clarifications.