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2210.16908

Statistical Properties for Mixing Markov Chains with Applications to Dynamical Systems

Ao Cai, Pedro Duarte, Silvius Klein

correcthigh confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Strong Field
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

The paper proves the large deviations estimate by a moment-generating-function/‘Bernstein trick’ argument that yields a clean tail 8 exp(−c(ε) n) with c(ε)=c ε^{2+1/p} and a threshold n(ε) of order ε^{-1/p}, with explicit constants (Theorem 2.1 and the optimization step) . The candidate solution’s block-skeleton/Azuma approach produces an extra polynomial prefactor m(ε)≈ε^{-1/p} via a union bound over arithmetic progressions; its claim that this factor can be absorbed into the exponential for n(ε)≈ε^{-1/p} is incorrect. Absorbing log m requires n(ε) of order ε^{-2-1/p} log(1/ε), contradicting the paper’s stated n(ε)≈ε^{-1/p}. Hence the paper’s result is correct, while the candidate solution’s final step (constant handling and threshold) is flawed.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} no revision

\textbf{Journal Tier:} strong field

\textbf{Justification:}

The paper delivers a clear abstract LDT under a weak (polynomial) strong-mixing assumption, with explicit constants and a transparent mgf-based proof. The result is technically correct, broadly applicable, and illustrated through a nontrivial class of systems. The writing is concise and self-contained; only minor presentation tweaks would further improve accessibility.