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2211.11075

Modeling the Co-evolution of Climate Impact and Population Behavior: A Mean-Field Analysis

Kathinka Frieswijk, Lorenzo Zino, A. Stephen Morse, Ming Cao

wronghigh confidence
Category
math.DS
Journal tier
Specialist/Solid
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

For the mean-field system (11) ẋ = x(1−x)(2x+μ ε+α+σ−κ−1), ε̇ = (γ(1−x)−τ)ε under Assumption 2, the paper’s Theorem 1 claims almost all interior trajectories converge to a limit cycle . However, a Bendixson–Dulac certificate with B(x,ε)=1/(x(1−x)ε) on Ω=(0,1)×(0,∞) yields ∂(Bf1)/∂x+∂(Bf2)/∂ε=2/ε>0, excluding any periodic orbit in the interior. The interior equilibrium is indeed an unstable spiral as the paper shows , but the subsequent appeal to the Poincaré–Bendixson theorem misapplies the hypothesis about the limit set’s location and overlooks the Dulac obstruction; consequently, Theorem 1 is false. The model’s solution correctly identifies this via Bendixson–Dulac.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} reject

\textbf{Journal Tier:} specialist/solid

\textbf{Justification:}

The central theorem asserting global convergence to a periodic orbit for almost all interior initial conditions contradicts a straightforward Bendixson–Dulac calculation that precludes periodic orbits in the interior domain. While the model and local stability analyses are of interest, the main global claim is incorrect and the proof misapplies the Poincaré–Bendixson theorem by not ensuring the limit set lies entirely within the open region. Substantial corrections are needed before publication.