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2211.13062

Rate-induced tipping in heterogeneous reaction-diffusion systems: An invariant manifold framework and geographically shifting ecosystems

Cris R. Hasan, Ruaidhrí Mac Cárthaigh, Sebastian Wieczorek

incompletemedium confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Specialist/Solid
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

The paper correctly identifies and numerically documents B‑tipping at a critical habitat length and R‑tipping at a critical habitat speed as saddle‑node folds of pulse solutions detected via a quadratic tangency of W^u and W^s in a compactified moving‑frame ODE, and continues these folds in two parameters. However, it does not provide rigorous proofs of existence, uniqueness, or stability of pulses; the results are computational and framework‑oriented. The model’s solution gives a plausible geometric–analytic proof sketch (manifold dimensions, Σ‑section, generic quadratic tangency, order‑preserving PDE stability) but asserts stronger, largely unproved statements (e.g., at most two pulses via a claimed unimodality/zero‑number argument for the shooting map, and global exactness of “two pulses for all L > Lcrit” across parameter ranges). Hence both are incomplete: the paper in analytical rigor, the model in over‑general claims and missing hypotheses.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} specialist/solid

\textbf{Justification:}

The paper provides a coherent computational framework and convincing numerical evidence for B- and R-tipping via saddle-node folds of pulse solutions in an Allee-type habitat model, together with informative two-parameter tipping diagrams. Its methodological synthesis is useful and broadly applicable. To strengthen correctness and clarity, the manuscript should more clearly demarcate numerical observations from rigorous statements and add brief analytical justifications for the manifold picture and its fold interpretation; with these clarifications, the work is a solid specialist contribution.