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2403.11774

Stochastic compartment model with mortality and its application to epidemic spreading in complex networks

Téo Granger, Thomas M. Michelitsch, Michael Bestehorn, Alejandro P. Riascos, Bernard A. Collet

correctmedium confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Specialist/Solid
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

The paper derives the endemic equilibrium under zero mortality via Laplace-transform persistence arguments, obtaining Jw = (R0−1)/R0 · [βw⟨twI⟩/(1+βw⟨twI⟩)] and Jn = (R0−1)/R0 · [βn⟨tnI⟩/(1+βn⟨tnI⟩)], existing uniquely for R0 = βwβn⟨twI⟩⟨tnI⟩ > 1; no interior solution exists for R0 ≤ 1 . With mortality affecting walkers, the paper defines RM = βwβn⟨tnI⟩⟨min(twI,tM)⟩ and proves RM ≤ R0, with equality only for zero mortality . The candidate solution mirrors these results using steady-state incidence×duration reasoning and the inequality E[min(X,Y)] ≤ E[X], giving the same conditions and explicit formulas. The logical steps and assumptions (bilinear rates, finite mean infectious durations, and independence) align with the paper’s model setup .

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} specialist/solid

\textbf{Justification:}

The work gives a coherent mean-field treatment of a two-population indirect-transmission system with general infectious-time distributions and mortality on one population. The threshold conditions and endemic equilibria are derived in a distribution-agnostic way, and the stability analysis complements the steady-state derivation. Minor editorial improvements (e.g., consolidating assumptions and explicitly stating uniqueness at first mention) would enhance readability.