2403.11774
Stochastic compartment model with mortality and its application to epidemic spreading in complex networks
Téo Granger, Thomas M. Michelitsch, Michael Bestehorn, Alejandro P. Riascos, Bernard A. Collet
correctmedium confidence
- Category
- Not specified
- Journal tier
- Specialist/Solid
- Processed
- Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM
- arXiv Links
- Abstract ↗PDF ↗
Audit review
The paper derives the endemic equilibrium under zero mortality via Laplace-transform persistence arguments, obtaining Jw = (R0−1)/R0 · [βw⟨twI⟩/(1+βw⟨twI⟩)] and Jn = (R0−1)/R0 · [βn⟨tnI⟩/(1+βn⟨tnI⟩)], existing uniquely for R0 = βwβn⟨twI⟩⟨tnI⟩ > 1; no interior solution exists for R0 ≤ 1 . With mortality affecting walkers, the paper defines RM = βwβn⟨tnI⟩⟨min(twI,tM)⟩ and proves RM ≤ R0, with equality only for zero mortality . The candidate solution mirrors these results using steady-state incidence×duration reasoning and the inequality E[min(X,Y)] ≤ E[X], giving the same conditions and explicit formulas. The logical steps and assumptions (bilinear rates, finite mean infectious durations, and independence) align with the paper’s model setup .
Referee report (LaTeX)
\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions \textbf{Journal Tier:} specialist/solid \textbf{Justification:} The work gives a coherent mean-field treatment of a two-population indirect-transmission system with general infectious-time distributions and mortality on one population. The threshold conditions and endemic equilibria are derived in a distribution-agnostic way, and the stability analysis complements the steady-state derivation. Minor editorial improvements (e.g., consolidating assumptions and explicitly stating uniqueness at first mention) would enhance readability.