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2403.14147

The transcritical Bogdanov Takens bifurcation with boundary due to the risk perception on a recruitment epidemiological model

Jocelyn A. Castro-Echeverría, Fernando Verduzco, Jorge X. Velasco-Hernández

incompletemedium confidence
Category
math.DS
Journal tier
Specialist/Solid
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

The paper establishes the model, disease-free equilibrium E0=(T/(1+μ),0,0), R0=β/(μ+τ), and local stability via explicit eigenvalues λ1=−(1+μ), λ2=(μ+τ)(R0−1), λ3=−(μ+γ), which matches the candidate’s Step 1 and supports a transcritical-with-boundary exchange at R0=1 (E0 on I=U=0) . It derives the endemic equilibrium relations I1=S1(R0−1)+U1(R0(1−η)−1) and S1=C0U1 with the closed forms for C0, D0 and U1, consistent with the candidate’s Step 2; it asserts existence for R0>1 (Theorem 2), though without a careful positivity proof of the U1 denominator that the candidate provides . For the transcritical Bogdanov–Takens (tBT) analysis, the paper defines the unfolding parameters δ1=R0−1, δ2=μ+γ and identifies a double-zero eigenvalue at E0 (Lemma 1) but then explicitly states that the analytic proof of a tBT with boundary is beyond scope and presents only numerical evidence of a small cycle and near-homoclinic behavior (Figures 4–5) . In contrast, the candidate performs an explicit center manifold reduction at δ1=δ2=0 (β=τ, μ=γ=0), obtains a two-dimensional reduced system with nonvanishing mixed quadratic terms, shows the transcritical degeneracy (no u^2 term in v̇) and gives the Hopf curve scaling δ1=κH δ2^2 and a nearby homoclinic curve, completing the missing analytic part. Hence, the paper’s qualitative claims are largely correct up to the tBT proof, which it does not provide, whereas the model’s solution supplies a consistent and standard analytic derivation of the tBT with boundary configuration.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} major revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} specialist/solid

\textbf{Justification:}

The manuscript presents a relevant behavior-aware epidemic model and correctly derives E0, R0, and endemic equilibrium formulas. Its central tBT-with-boundary claim is plausible, but without an analytic center-manifold/normal-form derivation it remains unproven. The numerical evidence is suggestive but insufficient for a definitive claim. A full reduction and identification of the normal form (including coefficient computations) would resolve the main gap and elevate the work to publishable quality.