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2404.12396

Optimized Dynamic Mode Decomposition for Reconstruction and Forecasting of Atmospheric Chemistry Data

Meghana Velegar, Christoph Keller, J. Nathan Kutz

correctmedium confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Specialist/Solid
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

The paper explicitly models forecasts as x(t)=Φ exp(Ω t) b (a finite sum of exponentials) and observes empirically that allowing eigenvalues with positive real part produces exponentially growing forecasts, while constraining the spectrum to the closed left-half plane stabilizes forecasts; these claims are documented in their diagnostics and discussion (see the representation in Eq. (1) and surrounding text, and the constraint statements and empirical outcomes) . The candidate solution provides a clean, rigorous proof of boundedness under Re(ωk)≤0 and divergence when some Re(ωk)>0 (with a careful treatment of ties and cancellations). Thus, both align on substance; the paper provides empirical/algorithmic justification while the model gives a formal argument.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} specialist/solid

\textbf{Justification:}

The study compellingly demonstrates that spectral constraints (Re(ω)≤0) in optDMD yield stable, accurate forecasts for atmospheric chemistry time series, while unconstrained models can exhibit exponential growth. The methodology and diagnostics are clear and well-motivated, and the results are consistent across species and data types. Minor theoretical clarifications (explicitly linking the spectral constraint to boundedness and noting edge cases) would further strengthen the presentation.