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2406.14807

Multivariate Extreme Values for Dynamical Systems

Romain Aimino, Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas, Jorge Milhazes Freitas, Mike Todd

correcthigh confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Strong Field
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

The candidate solution follows the paper’s declustering/big-blocks–small-gaps scheme under conditions Д(un) and Д′(un), and correctly derives lim μ(Mn ≤ un(τ)) = exp(−θ(τ) Γ̂(τ)). It also matches the paper’s handling of error terms via n γ(q,n,t_n) and the Δ^(q) anti-clustering sum. One minor gap is that the model’s Step 5 appeals to G(cτ) = (G(τ))^c without proof; the paper instead proves θ(cτ)=θ(τ) via a time-change argument and then deduces homogeneity. This is easily patched by adopting the paper’s argument. Aside from this, the proofs are essentially the same.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} strong field

\textbf{Justification:}

The paper’s theorem and proof are sound and significant for multivariate extremes in dynamical systems. The candidate solution mirrors the paper’s method and reaches the correct conclusions, with a small gap in the homogeneity/ray-constancy step that is readily fixed by adopting the paper’s time-change argument. Overall, the contributions are technically rigorous and broadly applicable.