2408.02552
INTERPLAY BETWEEN FORAGING CHOICES AND POPULATION GROWTH DYNAMICS
Jimmy Calvo-Monge, Baltazar Espinoza, Fabio Sanchez
incompletemedium confidence
- Category
- Not specified
- Journal tier
- Specialist/Solid
- Processed
- Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM
- arXiv Links
- Abstract ↗PDF ↗
Audit review
The paper formalizes an MDP-based adaptive logistic model and reports (via simulation) that optimal foraging time rises with population size and that adaptive population trajectories are attenuated relative to the classical logistic, but it gives no rigorous proofs of these claims and leaves key shape assumptions about PFF(f,P) implicit. In particular, the paper states as a qualitative finding that the optimal foraging time increases with population size (Discussion), without a structural theorem or clear conditions under which this is guaranteed ; the Bellman equations are specified but suppress the explicit P-dependence in PFF in (2.1), (2.2) and do not analyze comparative statics . The candidate model provides a rigorous framework (existence, a clean V^NFF recursion independent of P, ΔV_t nonincreasing in P, attenuation of adaptive logistic via a logit-transform comparison) and, under a natural “decreasing-differences” congestion condition on PFF(f,P) suggested by the paper’s Appendix description (“increase speed becomes lower as population grows”) , proves the opposite monotonicity: optimal foraging time is weakly decreasing in P. That said, the model’s ν-comparative statics step invokes an incorrect monotonicity claim about B(f)^ν differences; the stated Milgrom–Shannon argument needs refinement. Net: the paper’s conclusions are numerically illustrated but unproven (incomplete), and the model’s structural program is broadly correct on the main points (well-posedness, ΔV monotonicity, logistic attenuation), but one comparative-statics step (in ν) is under-justified, so we judge both incomplete. Meanwhile, the paper’s monotonicity direction (f*(P) increasing) conflicts with the model’s direction under assumptions that the paper itself appears to endorse for PFF; resolving this requires the paper to state and analyze the shape conditions explicitly (e.g., decreasing vs increasing differences) rather than rely on simulations .
Referee report (LaTeX)
\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions \textbf{Journal Tier:} specialist/solid \textbf{Justification:} The manuscript makes a neat connection between individual-level decision-making and logistic growth. Its contributions are primarily computational and conceptual. However, several central qualitative claims are not backed by theorem-level results or explicit shape assumptions (e.g., when optimal foraging time rises or falls with population size). Adding a short analytical section with minimal assumptions and a formal ODE comparison would significantly strengthen correctness and generality without changing the empirical content. Therefore, I recommend minor revisions focusing on theoretical clarity.