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2411.14603

Dynamics of an LPAA model for Tribolium growth: insights into population chaos

Samantha J. Brozak, Sophia Peralta, Tin Phan, John D. Nagy, Yang Kuang

correctmedium confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Specialist/Solid
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

The paper proves global stability of the positive equilibrium by reducing the 4D LPAA map to a scalar delay equation and invoking a monotonicity theorem; the hypotheses and bounds are clearly verified and lead to Theorem 7.1 (1 < R0 < min{e, e^{c1}(1−µa)/(c2 µa)}) . The candidate solution proposes a different Lyapunov/KL approach on the 4D normalized system. Although its normalization and ΔV upper bound are correct, the sign analysis of the key term S(w,z) is flawed: near w>1, z≈0 one has S(w,0) ≈ β'(w−1) > 0, so the proposed Lyapunov function is not nonincreasing and the global convergence argument fails. Additional inequalities used to force S≤0 are also incorrect/insufficient. Consequently, the paper’s result stands; the model’s proof is wrong.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} specialist/solid

\textbf{Justification:}

The manuscript offers a clear modeling extension (LPAA), ties it to data, and delivers rigorous stability results. The global stability theorem is derived through a standard but carefully executed reduction to a scalar delay equation and an established monotonicity argument. While largely correct and well-presented, a few proof details could be expanded for accessibility.