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2412.04517

Modeling wildfire dynamics through a physics-based approach incorporating fuel moisture and landscape heterogeneity

Adrián Navas-Montilla, Cordula Reisch, Pablo Diaz, Ilhan Özgen-Xian

incompletemedium confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Specialist/Solid
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

The paper presents a consistent ADR wildfire model with Rosseland (T^3) diffusion, a step ignition law, and moisture via apparent heat capacity, and reports qualitative/numerical findings: ROS decreases with moisture (stopping at high M when w=0), increases with wind, nonzero ROS for any nonzero wind, and practical equivalence of Arrhenius vs constant reaction rate after calibration. However, it does not provide rigorous traveling-wave existence or monotonicity proofs. The candidate solution sketches such proofs and gives plausible arguments (Kirchhoff transform, maximum principle bounds, an energy identity, monotone iteration, and qualitative Melnikov-type comparisons), but key steps are only outlined and require missing hypotheses (e.g., precise Fredholm/transversality conditions, full control of the discontinuous ignition limit, and a justified nonnegative remainder in the projected identity). Hence, the paper is correct but not a proof paper; the model solution is promising but incomplete.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} specialist/solid

\textbf{Justification:}

A careful and practically oriented ADR wildfire model is derived and exercised numerically, with insights on moisture, wind, and radiation that are consistent with prior work and physically reasonable. The paper does not attempt rigorous traveling-wave theorems; where it speaks of theoretical insights, it should be explicit that the evidence is numerical/qualitative. Clarifying scope, limitations, and the modeling nature of the conclusions would strengthen the presentation.