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2503.07875

Dynamical behavior and bifurcation analysis for a theoretical model of dengue fever transmission with incubation period and delayed recovery

Burcu Gürbüz, Aytül Gökçe, Segun I. Oke, Michael O. Adeniyi, Mayowa M. Ojo

incompletemedium confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Specialist/Solid
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

Both the paper and the candidate solution reach the same threshold and uniqueness conclusions. However, for global stability of the disease-free equilibrium, the paper plugs Sh=1 and Sv=1/c1v (DFE values) directly into L' along trajectories to infer negativity and global stability, which is not justified; one needs bounds (Sh≤1, Sv≤1/c1v) and LaSalle’s invariance principle, as the model rightly provides. The model’s treatment of infection delays (τh, τv) via a clean characteristic equation and a modulus bound is also correct and sharper than what the paper explicitly states. Hence, the result is correct, but the paper’s argument is incomplete; the model’s proof closes the gap.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} major revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} specialist/solid

\textbf{Justification:}

The manuscript correctly formulates a dengue delay model, derives the reproduction threshold, and identifies the uniqueness of the endemic equilibrium. It also explores delay-induced bifurcations. However, the global stability proof of the disease-free equilibrium is incomplete as written: it replaces dynamic variables by their equilibrium values within the Lyapunov derivative and omits LaSalle’s invariance argument. Clarifying the roles of the different delays and tightening the proofs would significantly strengthen the paper.