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2506.11838

Mean Field Games without Rational Expectations

Benjamin Moll, Lenya Ryzhik

correctmedium confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Strong Field
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

The paper explicitly formulates the agent’s problem under low-dimensional coupling and non-rational expectations as a finite-dimensional HJB in (x,z,p) with generator A_α = α·∇_x + νΔ_x, plus βΔ_z and an exogenous perceived price operator Â_p, see its equation (6.4). The candidate solution derives exactly this HJB via dynamic programming and Itô’s formula with the same state, operators, terminal condition, and feedback characterization. The only mild specialization is the candidate’s explicit independence assumption for the price and aggregate shocks, which is one of the paper’s simplest benchmark specifications. The conclusions align: the agent’s optimization step does not require an infinite-dimensional Master equation under non-rational expectations.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} strong field

\textbf{Justification:}

The paper cleanly formalizes how non-rational expectations combined with low-dimensional couplings yield standard finite-dimensional HJBs, thereby avoiding the Master equation’s curse of dimensionality. The mathematical structure is standard but the contribution is to sharpen the modeling message and connect macroeconomic practice with PDE/control formulations. Minor clarifications would further solidify assumptions and solution concepts.